AAOI

-11.7%⚪ No clear catalyst

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. · Technology

$86.33Vol 10.26M · 1.4× normalMkt cap −$0.97Blive · 2026-10-14 ET

What happened

Move

-11.7%

Price

$86.33

Volume

10.26M

1.4× normal

Market cap

$7.33B

−$0.97B today

Why it moved

No clear catalyst identified

No reliable news, earnings or analyst driver was found for this move. A move this size without an obvious driver is most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than a fundamentals story.

Verdict — was the move justified?

⚪ No clear catalyst

An unusually large move with no reliable catalyst identified — most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than news-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

2.2σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

90th

of 1269 daily moves

Avg daily move

±5.2%

own 5y average

vs sector

-8.9%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 10% of AAOI’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -2.8% and the market -0.9%.

What happened after similar moves

115 similar down moves in AAOI’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+2.8%

57% higher

After 20 days

+6.5%

58% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 25G 25P 0H 75Q 27

Insider activity (90d): net selling $6.75M

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for AAOI

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