AD
ADM
+3.5%🟢 Fundamentally supportedArcher Daniels Midland Company · Consumer Defensive
$83.20Vol 3.10M · 0.9× normalMkt cap +$1.34Bafter · 2026-10-13 ET
What happened
Move
+3.5%
Price
$83.20
Volume
3.10M
0.9× normal
Market cap
$40.10B
+$1.34B today
Why it moved
Earnings releasemedium confidence
- Will ADM (ADM) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report? — finnhub-news
- Archer Daniels' Wilmar Earnings Fall 22%: Is Pressure Temporary? — finnhub-news
Possible catalyst: earnings release, 3.7pp above its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Earnings release — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
2.2σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
95th
of 1276 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.3%
own 5y average
vs sector
+3.7%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 5% of ADM’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -0.2% and the market +0.0%.
What happened after similar moves
89 similar up moves in ADM’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
-0.3%
48% higher
After 20 days
+0.6%
53% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 47G 25P 21H 52Q 87
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
22.7
5y median 13.9
P/E percentile
79%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.0%
Trading richer than 79% of its own historical valuation range.
Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice
Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for ADM