AEM

-6.0%🔴 Potential overreaction

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited · Basic Materials

$174.54Vol 2.39M · 1.9× normalMkt cap −$5.60Blive · 2026-10-14 ET

What happened

Move

-6.0%

Price

$174.54

Volume

2.39M

1.9× normal

Market cap

$88.38B

−$5.60B today

Why it moved

No clear catalyst identified

No reliable news, earnings or analyst driver was found for this move. A move this size without an obvious driver is most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than a fundamentals story.

Additional context: AEM fell 5.73% amid heavy trading volume at 2.2x normal levels, despite generally positive gold sector sentiment.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 2.6σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

2.6σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

98th

of 1276 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.8%

own 5y average

vs sector

-3.6%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 2% of AEM’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -2.4% and the market -0.9%.

What happened after similar moves

70 similar down moves in AEM’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+0.6%

53% higher

After 20 days

+2.8%

54% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 64G 95P 90H 100Q 87

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

21.1

5y median 23.2

P/E percentile

33%

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (33th percentile).

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