AJG

+6.6%🟡 Supported direction, extreme size

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. · Financial Services

$252.58Vol 885.6K · 1.1× normalMkt cap +$3.98Blive · 2026-10-15 ET

What happened

Move

+6.6%

Price

$252.58

Volume

885.6K

1.1× normal

Market cap

$64.75B

+$3.98B today

Why it moved

Earnings releasemedium confidence

Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) Nears Third Quarter Earnings, Is It A Bargain? — finnhub-news
Does Earnings Momentum And Financial Wellbeing Strategy Change The Bull Case For Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG)? — finnhub-news

Possible catalyst: earnings release, 5.4pp above its sector.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🟡 Supported direction, extreme size

Earnings release supports the direction, but at 4.5σ the reaction is unusually large even for this stock — part of the move may be positioning flow on top of the news.

How unusual is this move

σ score

4.5σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

100th

of 1277 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.1%

own 5y average

vs sector

+5.4%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 1% of AJG’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +1.2% and the market +1.1%.

What happened after similar moves

6 similar up moves in AJG’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+0.1%

50% higher

After 20 days

+0.5%

50% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 57G 77P 43H 45Q 80

Insider activity (90d): net selling $7.56M

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

38.7

5y median 41.4

P/E percentile

39%

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (39th percentile).

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for AJG

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