AR
AR
+5.8%🟢 Fundamentally supportedANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION · Energy
$38.55Vol 5.21M · 1.2× normalMkt cap +$0.65Bafter · 2026-10-16 ET
What happened
Move
+5.8%
Price
$38.55
Volume
5.21M
1.2× normal
Market cap
$11.85B
+$0.65B today
Why it moved
Earnings releasemedium confidence
- Antero Resources Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Date and Conference Call — finnhub-news
- Scotiabank Initiates Coverage of Antero Resources with Sector Outperform Rating — finnhub-news
Possible catalyst: earnings release, 2.9pp above its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Earnings release — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
2.7σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
94th
of 1272 daily moves
Avg daily move
±2.2%
own 5y average
vs sector
+2.9%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 6% of AR’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +2.9% and the market -0.3%.
What happened after similar moves
103 similar up moves in AR’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+1.0%
59% higher
After 20 days
+1.8%
57% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 80G 26P 64H 10Q 70EW 36/65
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
11.0
5y median 13.2
P/E percentile
42%
vs own 4y history
FCF yield
0.2%
Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (42th percentile).
Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice
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