AZO

+4.4%🔴 Potential overreaction

AutoZone, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

$3040.40Vol 136.1K · 0.5× normalMkt cap +$2.08Blive · 2026-10-15 ET

What happened

Move

+4.4%

Price

$3040.40

Volume

136.1K

0.5× normal

Market cap

$49.17B

+$2.08B today

Why it moved

No clear catalyst identified

No reliable news, earnings or analyst driver was found for this move. A move this size without an obvious driver is most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than a fundamentals story.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 2.7σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

2.7σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

99th

of 1277 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.2%

own 5y average

vs sector

+2.1%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 1% of AZO’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +2.3% and the market +1.3%.

What happened after similar moves

36 similar up moves in AZO’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+0.4%

53% higher

After 20 days

+2.1%

65% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 64G 50P 65H 42Q 70EW 28/65

Latest earnings: EPS surprise +3.0%, revenue -2.5% (2026-09-22)

Insider activity (90d): net selling $4.51M

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

19.2

5y median 20.5

P/E percentile

24%

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Trading cheaper than 76% of its own historical valuation range.

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for AZO

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