BG
BG
+3.0%🟢 Fundamentally supportedBunge Global SA · Consumer Defensive
$107.39Vol 1.34M · 0.7× normalMkt cap +$0.61Bafter · 2026-10-13 ET
What happened
Move
+3.0%
Price
$107.39
Volume
1.34M
0.7× normal
Market cap
$20.63B
+$0.61B today
Why it moved
Analyst upgrademedium confidence
Possible catalyst: analyst upgrade, 3.3pp above its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Analyst upgrade — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
2.0σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
91th
of 1276 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.4%
own 5y average
vs sector
+3.3%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 9% of BG’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -0.2% and the market +0.0%.
What happened after similar moves
126 similar up moves in BG’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+0.7%
57% higher
After 20 days
+1.1%
54% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 37G 31P 21H 51Q 42
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
20.5
5y median 9.2
P/E percentile
91%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
-0.0%
Trading richer than 91% of its own historical valuation range.
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