BL
BLDR
+4.9%🟢 Fundamentally supportedBuilders FirstSource, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$53.02Vol 2.54M · 1.3× normalMkt cap +$0.27Blive · 2026-10-15 ET
What happened
Move
+4.9%
Price
$53.02
Volume
2.54M
1.3× normal
Market cap
$5.70B
+$0.27B today
Why it moved
Earnings releasemedium confidence
Possible catalyst: earnings release, 2.9pp above its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Earnings release — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
2.9σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
92th
of 1277 daily moves
Avg daily move
±2.2%
own 5y average
vs sector
+2.9%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 8% of BLDR’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +2.1% and the market +1.1%.
What happened after similar moves
116 similar up moves in BLDR’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+1.2%
56% higher
After 20 days
+0.7%
52% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 62G 25P 21H 51Q 60EW 20/65
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
53.0
5y median 11.1
P/E percentile
94%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.1%
Trading richer than 94% of its own historical valuation range.
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