CG

-4.5%🟢 Fundamentally supported

The Carlyle Group Inc. Common Stock · Financial Services

$35.56Vol 2.42M · 0.9× normalMkt cap −$0.60Blive · 2026-10-14 ET

What happened

Move

-4.5%

Price

$35.56

Volume

2.42M

0.9× normal

Market cap

$12.67B

−$0.60B today

Why it moved

Analyst downgrademedium confidence

UBS Maintains Buy on Carlyle Group, Lowers Price Target to $60 — finnhub-news
TD Cowen Maintains Hold on Carlyle Group, Lowers Price Target to $42 — finnhub-news

Possible catalyst: analyst downgrade, 3.0pp below its sector.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🟢 Fundamentally supported

Analyst downgrade — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.

How unusual is this move

σ score

3.1σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

93th

of 1268 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.9%

own 5y average

vs sector

-3.0%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 7% of CG’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -1.5% and the market -0.9%.

What happened after similar moves

105 similar down moves in CG’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

-0.7%

46% higher

After 20 days

-4.7%

40% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 25G 25P 50H 11Q 25

Insider activity (90d): net selling $17.10M

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

36.5

5y median 15.3

P/E percentile

81%

vs own 4y history

FCF yield

-0.3%

Trading richer than 81% of its own historical valuation range.

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for CG

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