CO
COP
+3.5%🟢 Fundamentally supportedConocoPhillips · Energy
$146.72Vol 7.77M · 1.2× normalMkt cap +$5.99BMarket closed — 2026-10-16 session
What happened
Move
+3.5%
Price
$146.72
Volume
7.77M
1.2× normal
Market cap
$176.26B
+$5.99B today
Why it moved
Earnings releasemedium confidence
- Will ConocoPhillips (COP) Gain on Rising Earnings Estimates? — finnhub-news
- How Buy Ratings Could Impact ConocoPhillips Stock — finnhub-news
Possible catalyst: earnings release.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Earnings release — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
1.9σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
92th
of 1279 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.5%
own 5y average
Today’s move is among the largest 8% of COP’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +3.3% and the market -0.3%.
What happened after similar moves
139 similar up moves in COP’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+1.1%
58% higher
After 20 days
+2.8%
63% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 60G 43P 64H 55Q 71
Insider activity (90d): net selling $3.30M
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
19.0
5y median 12.4
P/E percentile
85%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.1%
Trading richer than 85% of its own historical valuation range.
Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice
Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for COP