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DECK

+5.0%🔴 Potential overreaction

Deckers Outdoor Corp · Consumer Cyclical

$86.97Vol 1.76M · 0.6× normalMkt cap +$0.56Blive · 2026-10-15 ET

What happened

Move
+5.0%
Price
$86.97
Volume
1.76M
0.6× normal
Market cap
$11.84B
+$0.56B today

Why it moved

Legal / regulatorylow confidence

Weak signal: legal / regulatory, 2.7pp above its sector.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 3.5σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score
3.5σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
95th
of 1276 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.9%
own 5y average
vs sector
+2.7%
beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 5% of DECK’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +2.3% and the market +1.2%.

What happened after similar moves

88 similar up moves in DECK’s 5-year history:

After 5 days
+1.3%
63% higher
After 20 days
+3.9%
59% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 95G 75P 90H 100Q 71EW 29/65

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)
11.1
5y median 21.8
P/E percentile
2%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.1%

Trading cheaper than 98% of its own historical valuation range.

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for DECK

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