DH
DHI
+4.7%🟢 Fundamentally supportedD.R. Horton Inc. · Industrials
$139.91Vol 1.86M · 0.7× normalMkt cap +$1.75Blive · 2026-10-15 ET
What happened
Move
+4.7%
Price
$139.91
Volume
1.86M
0.7× normal
Market cap
$39.13B
+$1.75B today
Why it moved
Earnings releasemedium confidence
- D.R. Horton Earnings Preview: What to Expect — finnhub-news
Possible catalyst: earnings release, 4.3pp above its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Earnings release — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
2.9σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
95th
of 1276 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.7%
own 5y average
vs sector
+4.3%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 5% of DHI’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +0.4% and the market +1.3%.
What happened after similar moves
93 similar up moves in DHI’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+0.2%
51% higher
After 20 days
+1.8%
58% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 75G 23P 49H 87Q 85
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
12.2
5y median 9.5
P/E percentile
78%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.1%
Trading richer than 78% of its own historical valuation range.
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