EL

-2.1%⚪ No clear catalyst

The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A · Consumer Defensive

$104.96Vol 2.85M · 0.9× normalMkt cap −$0.81BMarket closed — 2026-10-16 session

What happened

Move

-2.1%

Price

$104.96

Volume

2.85M

0.9× normal

Market cap

$38.03B

−$0.81B today

Why it moved

Analyst upgradelow confidence

Morgan Stanley Maintains Equal-Weight on Estee Lauder Cos, Raises Price Target to $112 — finnhub-news

Weak signal: analyst upgrade, 3.2pp below its sector.

Verdict — was the move justified?

⚪ No clear catalyst

No reliable catalyst was identified for this move.

How unusual is this move

σ score

1.2σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

66th

of 1278 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.9%

own 5y average

vs sector

-3.2%

beyond sector median

What happened after similar moves

209 similar down moves in EL’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+0.6%

55% higher

After 20 days

-1.9%

42% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 44G 0P 40H 52Q 67EW 36/65

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

131.4

5y median 57.1

P/E percentile

95%

vs own 3y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Trading richer than 95% of its own historical valuation range.

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for EL

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