ER
ERIE
+2.8%🟢 Fundamentally supportedErie Indemnity Co · Financial Services
$231.47Vol 129.2K · 0.7× normalMkt cap +$0.34Bafter · 2026-10-13 ET
What happened
Move
+2.8%
Price
$231.47
Volume
129.2K
0.7× normal
Market cap
$12.10B
+$0.34B today
Why it moved
Earnings releasemedium confidence
Possible catalyst: earnings release, 3.1pp above its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Earnings release — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
1.8σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
89th
of 1274 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.4%
own 5y average
vs sector
+3.1%
beyond sector median
What happened after similar moves
119 similar up moves in ERIE’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+0.6%
56% higher
After 20 days
-0.5%
49% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 67G 72P 90H 87Q 82EW 26/65
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
20.4
5y median 36.7
P/E percentile
5%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.0%
Trading cheaper than 95% of its own historical valuation range.
Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice
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