ES
ESLT
+4.8%⚪ No clear catalystElbit Systems Ltd. · Industrials
$699.44Vol 54.7K · 4.4× normalMkt cap +$1.49Blive · 2026-10-14 ET
What happened
Move
+4.8%
Price
$699.44
Volume
54.7K
4.4× normal
Market cap
$32.78B
+$1.49B today
Why it moved
Unusual volumelow confidence
- Volume 4.4× normal — computed
Weak signal: unusual volume, 5.3pp above its sector, on 4.4× normal volume.
Verdict — was the move justified?
⚪ No clear catalyst
An unusually large move with no reliable catalyst identified — most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than news-driven.
How unusual is this move
σ score
3.0σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
96th
of 1275 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.5%
own 5y average
vs sector
+5.3%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 4% of ESLT’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -0.6% and the market -0.6%.
What happened after similar moves
65 similar up moves in ESLT’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+0.2%
51% higher
After 20 days
+2.2%
65% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 30G 85P 49H 80Q 95
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
58.6
5y median 39.9
P/E percentile
74%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.0%
Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (74th percentile).
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