F
F
+3.4%🟢 Fundamentally supportedFord Motor Company · Consumer Cyclical
$12.73Vol 13.34M · 1.1× normalMkt cap +$1.68Blive · 2026-10-16 ET
What happened
Move
+3.4%
Price
$12.73
Volume
13.34M
1.1× normal
Market cap
$50.77B
+$1.68B today
Why it moved
Earnings releasemedium confidence
- Ford (F) Is Freeing Itself From EV Overhangs. Is the Stock a Buy at 6x Earnings? — finnhub-news
- Ford's Baby Bonds And OTC Debt Present A Unique Arbitrage Opportunity — finnhub-news
Possible catalyst: earnings release, 2.7pp above its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Earnings release — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
2.7σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
87th
of 1277 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.8%
own 5y average
vs sector
+2.7%
beyond sector median
What happened after similar moves
135 similar up moves in F’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+0.2%
51% higher
After 20 days
-0.4%
50% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 80G 12P 0H 30Q 55EW 35/65
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
9.5
5y median 11.3
P/E percentile
38%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.3%
Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (38th percentile).
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