FROG

-8.3%🔴 Potential overreaction

JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares · Technology

$91.00Vol 2.70M · 1.8× normalMkt cap −$1.02BMarket closed — 2026-10-14 session

What happened

Move

-8.3%

Price

$91.00

Volume

2.70M

1.8× normal

Market cap

$11.22B

−$1.02B today

Why it moved

No clear catalyst identified

No reliable news, earnings or analyst driver was found for this move. A move this size without an obvious driver is most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than a fundamentals story.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 3.2σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

3.2σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

98th

of 1268 daily moves

Avg daily move

±2.5%

own 5y average

vs sector

-5.1%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 2% of FROG’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -3.2% and the market -0.6%.

What happened after similar moves

38 similar down moves in FROG’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

-0.9%

45% higher

After 20 days

+6.4%

66% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 25G 25P 0H 100Q 52

Insider activity (90d): net selling $17.62M

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

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