GW
GWRE
-3.9%⚪ No clear catalystGUIDEWIRE SOFTWARE, INC. · Technology
$168.86Vol 950.5K · 0.8× normalMkt cap −$0.57BMarket closed — 2026-10-16 session
What happened
Move
-3.9%
Price
$168.86
Volume
950.5K
0.8× normal
Market cap
$13.85B
−$0.57B today
Why it moved
Sector-wide movelow confidence
- Sector-wide move — computed
Sector-driven move — the stock is moving largely with its sector (-3.2%); no major company-specific catalyst detected.
Verdict — was the move justified?
⚪ No clear catalyst
No reliable catalyst was identified for this move.
How unusual is this move
σ score
1.6σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
89th
of 1270 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.8%
own 5y average
vs sector
-0.7%
beyond sector median
What happened after similar moves
104 similar down moves in GWRE’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+1.1%
57% higher
After 20 days
+0.8%
52% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 37G 45P 56H 93Q 84
Insider activity (90d): net selling $25.24M
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
86.6
5y median 195.0
P/E percentile
36%
vs own 2y history
FCF yield
0.0%
Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (36th percentile).
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