HLT

+4.8%🟡 Supported direction, extreme size

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

$343.78Vol 1.04M · 0.8× normalMkt cap +$3.55Blive · 2026-10-15 ET

What happened

Move

+4.8%

Price

$343.78

Volume

1.04M

0.8× normal

Market cap

$77.37B

+$3.55B today

Why it moved

Analyst upgrademedium confidence

Marriott, Hilton Stocks Get Buy Ratings as Lodging Sector Enters New Era — finnhub-news
Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight on Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Raises Price Target to $336 — finnhub-news

Possible catalyst: analyst upgrade, 2.5pp above its sector.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🟡 Supported direction, extreme size

Analyst upgrade supports the direction, but at 4.3σ the reaction is unusually large even for this stock — part of the move may be positioning flow on top of the news.

How unusual is this move

σ score

4.3σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

99th

of 1276 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.3%

own 5y average

vs sector

+2.5%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 1% of HLT’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +2.3% and the market +1.3%.

What happened after similar moves

45 similar up moves in HLT’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

-0.3%

49% higher

After 20 days

+1.7%

62% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 27G 100P 65H 35Q 77EW 27/65

Insider activity (90d): net selling $2.39M

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

46.6

5y median 42.1

P/E percentile

69%

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (69th percentile).

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for HLT

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