HR
HRL
+2.9%🟢 Fundamentally supportedHormel Foods Corporation · Consumer Defensive
$19.76Vol 5.84M · 1.0× normalMkt cap +$0.30Bafter · 2026-10-14 ET
What happened
Move
+2.9%
Price
$19.76
Volume
5.84M
1.0× normal
Market cap
$10.87B
+$0.30B today
Why it moved
Analyst upgrademedium confidence
Possible catalyst: analyst upgrade, 1.6pp above its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Analyst upgrade — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
3.5σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
96th
of 1276 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.1%
own 5y average
vs sector
+1.6%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 4% of HRL’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +1.3% and the market -0.5%.
What happened after similar moves
58 similar up moves in HRL’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
-1.6%
33% higher
After 20 days
-1.7%
41% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 57G 31P 21H 73Q 90EW 31/65
Insider activity (90d): net buying $201.0K
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
31.8
5y median 23.8
P/E percentile
96%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.1%
Trading richer than 96% of its own historical valuation range.
Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice
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