IFF

+4.5%🔴 Potential overreaction

International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. · Basic Materials

$88.75Vol 1.62M · 1.0× normalMkt cap +$0.97Blive · 2026-10-13 ET

What happened

Move

+4.5%

Price

$88.75

Volume

1.62M

1.0× normal

Market cap

$22.64B

+$0.97B today

Why it moved

No clear catalyst identified

No reliable news, earnings or analyst driver was found for this move. A move this size without an obvious driver is most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than a fundamentals story.

Additional context: +3.06% statistical outlier (Z: 2.82) driven by broader Basic Materials sentiment without specific news catalyst.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 4.1σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

4.1σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

97th

of 1274 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.4%

own 5y average

vs sector

+4.7%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 3% of IFF’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -0.3% and the market +0.1%.

What happened after similar moves

63 similar up moves in IFF’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

-0.1%

49% higher

After 20 days

+1.9%

60% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 42G 25P 28H 50Q 85EW 36/65

Insider activity (90d): net selling $1.32M

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

82.1

5y median 114.0

P/E percentile

46%

vs own 2y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (46th percentile).

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

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