IP

+7.6%🟡 Supported direction, extreme size

International Paper Co. · Basic Materials

$34.31Vol 4.60M · 1.5× normalMkt cap +$1.28Blive · 2026-10-15 ET

What happened

Move

+7.6%

Price

$34.31

Volume

4.60M

1.5× normal

Market cap

$18.17B

+$1.28B today

Why it moved

Earnings releasemedium confidence

Earnings Preview: What to Expect From International Paper’s Report — finnhub-news
Truist Securities Maintains Buy on International Paper, Lowers Price Target to $41 — finnhub-news

Possible catalyst: earnings release, 6.1pp above its sector, on 1.5× normal volume.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🟡 Supported direction, extreme size

Earnings release supports the direction, but at 5.6σ the reaction is unusually large even for this stock — part of the move may be positioning flow on top of the news.

How unusual is this move

σ score

5.6σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

99th

of 1276 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.5%

own 5y average

vs sector

+6.1%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 1% of IP’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +1.5% and the market +1.2%.

What happened after similar moves

15 similar up moves in IP’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+3.8%

67% higher

After 20 days

+1.5%

60% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 35G 12P 10H 27Q 47EW 29/65

Insider activity (90d): net selling $1.16M

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

52.3

5y median 11.4

P/E percentile

88%

vs own 4y history

FCF yield

-0.0%

Trading richer than 88% of its own historical valuation range.

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for IP

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