LMT

+3.1%🔴 Potential overreaction

Lockheed Martin Corp. · Industrials

$519.52Vol 818.0K · 0.9× normalMkt cap +$3.58Blive · 2026-10-14 ET

What happened

Move

+3.1%

Price

$519.52

Volume

818.0K

0.9× normal

Market cap

$119.90B

+$3.58B today

Why it moved

Analyst downgradelow confidence

LMT Gets A Price Target Cut From Bernstein – Firm Says Defense Stock Setup Remains ‘Difficult’ — finnhub-news

Weak signal: analyst downgrade, 4.3pp above its sector.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 3.4σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

3.4σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

96th

of 1275 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.0%

own 5y average

vs sector

+4.3%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 4% of LMT’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -1.2% and the market -0.9%.

What happened after similar moves

76 similar up moves in LMT’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+0.1%

51% higher

After 20 days

-0.7%

45% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 85G 26P 75H 67Q 90EW 41/65

Insider activity (90d): net selling $117.6K

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

18.5

5y median 20.2

P/E percentile

38%

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.1%

Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (38th percentile).

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for LMT

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