M

-2.5%⚪ No clear catalyst

Macy's Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

$22.18Vol 4.50M · 1.0× normalMkt cap −$0.15Blive · 2026-10-14 ET

What happened

Move

-2.5%

Price

$22.18

Volume

4.50M

1.0× normal

Market cap

$5.79B

−$0.15B today

Why it moved

No clear catalyst identified

No reliable news, earnings or analyst driver was found for this move. A move this size without an obvious driver is most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than a fundamentals story.

Additional context: Macy's shares dropped 3.12% despite positive S&P outlook revisions, pressured by broader consumer cyclical headwinds.

Verdict — was the move justified?

⚪ No clear catalyst

An unusually large move with no reliable catalyst identified — most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than news-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

2.1σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

66th

of 1276 daily moves

Avg daily move

±2.3%

own 5y average

vs sector

-1.7%

beyond sector median

What happened after similar moves

228 similar down moves in M’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

-0.7%

46% higher

After 20 days

-0.5%

49% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 82G 0P 28H 58Q 66EW 41/65

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

9.3

5y median 8.5

P/E percentile

55%

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.2%

Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (55th percentile).

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