MDGL

-2.9%🔴 Potential overreaction

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock · Healthcare

$453.50Vol 196.0K · 0.7× normalMkt cap −$0.32Bafter · 2026-10-13 ET

What happened

Move

-2.9%

Price

$453.50

Volume

196.0K

0.7× normal

Market cap

$10.48B

−$0.32B today

Why it moved

No clear catalyst identified

No reliable news, earnings or analyst driver was found for this move. A move this size without an obvious driver is most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than a fundamentals story.

Additional context: -3.17% statistical outlier (Z: -2.78) driven by broader Healthcare sentiment without specific news catalyst.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 2.5σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

2.5σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

65th

of 1265 daily moves

Avg daily move

±2.9%

own 5y average

vs sector

-2.0%

beyond sector median

What happened after similar moves

196 similar down moves in MDGL’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+0.0%

51% higher

After 20 days

-0.9%

47% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 32G 0P 0H 75Q 5

Insider activity (90d): net selling $3.78M

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for MDGL

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