ML
MLM
+4.0%🟢 Fundamentally supportedMartin Marietta Materials · Basic Materials
$490.06Vol 421.9K · 0.9× normalMkt cap +$1.35Blive · 2026-10-15 ET
What happened
Move
+4.0%
Price
$490.06
Volume
421.9K
0.9× normal
Market cap
$34.80B
+$1.35B today
Why it moved
Analyst upgrademedium confidence
- JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Martin Marietta Materials, Lowers Price Target to $650 — finnhub-news
Possible catalyst: analyst upgrade, 2.6pp above its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Analyst upgrade — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
3.6σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
97th
of 1276 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.3%
own 5y average
vs sector
+2.6%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 3% of MLM’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +1.5% and the market +1.2%.
What happened after similar moves
69 similar up moves in MLM’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
-0.3%
48% higher
After 20 days
+1.9%
58% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 47G 46P 70H 52Q 56EW 20/65
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
13.6
5y median 29.3
P/E percentile
5%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.0%
Trading cheaper than 95% of its own historical valuation range.
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