MRNA

-8.3%⚪ No clear catalyst

Moderna, Inc. Common Stock · Healthcare

$216.94Vol 10.05M · 2.0× normalMkt cap −$7.81Blive · 2026-10-16 ET

What happened

Move

-8.3%

Price

$216.94

Volume

10.05M

2.0× normal

Market cap

$86.61B

−$7.81B today

Why it moved

Analyst upgradelow confidence

Goldman Sachs Maintains Neutral on Moderna, Raises Price Target to $137 — finnhub-news

Weak signal: analyst upgrade, 8.1pp below its sector, on 2.0× normal volume.

Verdict — was the move justified?

⚪ No clear catalyst

An unusually large move with no reliable catalyst identified — most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than news-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

2.0σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

94th

of 1277 daily moves

Avg daily move

±3.2%

own 5y average

vs sector

-8.1%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 6% of MRNA’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -0.2% and the market +0.5%.

What happened after similar moves

92 similar down moves in MRNA’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

-1.6%

42% higher

After 20 days

+0.6%

51% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 10G 0P 0H 100Q 30EW 36/65

Insider activity (90d): net selling $16.38M

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

32.8

5y median 8.6

P/E percentile

88%

vs own 2y history

FCF yield

-0.0%

Trading richer than 88% of its own historical valuation range.

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for MRNA

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