MR
MRSH
+5.7%🟢 Fundamentally supportedMarsh · Financial Services
$188.65Vol 1.95M · 1.1× normalMkt cap +$4.89Blive · 2026-10-15 ET
What happened
Move
+5.7%
Price
$188.65
Volume
1.95M
1.1× normal
Market cap
$90.03B
+$4.89B today
Why it moved
Earnings beathigh confidence
- Marsh McLennan shares jump as earnings and revenue beat forecasts — finnhub-news
- Marsh Shares Rise 2% as Q3 Earnings and Revenue Exceed Analyst Forecasts — finnhub-news
Likely catalyst: earnings beat, 4.6pp above its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Earnings beat — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
6.3σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
99th
of 188 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.3%
own 5y average
vs sector
+4.6%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 1% of MRSH’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +1.1% and the market +1.1%.
What happened after similar moves
4 similar up moves in MRSH’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
-0.2%
25% higher
After 20 days
+0.3%
50% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 64G 61P 77H 53Q 92EW 29/65
Insider activity (90d): net selling $3.36M
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
21.4
5y median 21.2
P/E percentile
58%
vs own 1y history
FCF yield
0.1%
Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (58th percentile).
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