MSFT

-2.0%⚪ No clear catalyst

Microsoft Corp · Technology

$528.55Vol 24.59M · 1.1× normalMkt cap −$80.85Bafter · 2026-10-16 ET

What happened

Move

-2.0%

Price

$528.55

Volume

24.59M

1.1× normal

Market cap

$3.92T

−$80.85B today

Why it moved

Sector-wide movelow confidence

Sector-wide move — computed

Sector-driven move — the stock is moving largely with its sector (-3.0%); no major company-specific catalyst detected.

Verdict — was the move justified?

⚪ No clear catalyst

No reliable catalyst was identified for this move.

How unusual is this move

σ score

1.9σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

80th

of 1280 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.3%

own 5y average

vs sector

+1.0%

beyond sector median

What happened after similar moves

167 similar down moves in MSFT’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+0.5%

54% higher

After 20 days

+0.8%

55% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 27G 85P 95H 82Q 75EW 37/65

Insider activity (90d): net selling $22.60M

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

31.4

5y median 34.0

P/E percentile

38%

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (38th percentile).

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