NF
NFLX
-3.2%🟢 Fundamentally supportedNetFlix Inc · Consumer Cyclical
$70.31Vol 44.16M · 1.1× normalMkt cap −$9.58BMarket closed — 2026-10-16 session
What happened
Move
-3.2%
Price
$70.31
Volume
44.16M
1.1× normal
Market cap
$292.77B
−$9.58B today
Why it moved
Earnings releasemedium confidence
- Here’s How Much Traders See Netflix Stock Moving After Earnings — finnhub-news
- Netflix, Tesla Headline Busy Earnings Calendar; Spending Plans Key To Meta's Report — finnhub-news
Possible catalyst: earnings release, 2.5pp below its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Earnings release — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
2.0σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
87th
of 1280 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.8%
own 5y average
vs sector
-2.5%
beyond sector median
What happened after similar moves
144 similar down moves in NFLX’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+0.4%
53% higher
After 20 days
+0.5%
51% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 61G 82P 100H 74Q 76EW 26/65
Next earnings: 2026-10-20
Insider activity (90d): net selling $54.2K
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
21.5
5y median 41.4
P/E percentile
10%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.0%
Trading cheaper than 90% of its own historical valuation range.
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