NI
NI
+2.4%🟢 Fundamentally supportedNiSource Inc. · Utilities
$42.23Vol 1.85M · 1.4× normalMkt cap +$0.47Blive · 2026-10-16 ET
What happened
Move
+2.4%
Price
$42.23
Volume
1.85M
1.4× normal
Market cap
$20.25B
+$0.47B today
Why it moved
Major contractmedium confidence
- NiSource Expands Microsoft Power Deal, Projects $1.75B In Customer Savings — finnhub-news
- Keybanc Maintains Overweight on NiSource, Lowers Price Target to $48 — finnhub-news
Possible catalyst: major contract.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Major contract — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
2.2σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
94th
of 1277 daily moves
Avg daily move
±0.9%
own 5y average
vs sector
+1.1%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 6% of NI’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +1.2% and the market +0.5%.
What happened after similar moves
106 similar up moves in NI’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+0.3%
56% higher
After 20 days
+1.8%
62% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 37G 64P 62H 18Q 60EW 21/65
Insider activity (90d): net selling $1.59M
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
21.9
5y median 19.5
P/E percentile
71%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
-0.1%
Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (71th percentile).
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