NKE

+5.5%🔴 Potential overreaction

NIKE, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

$37.25Vol 25.67M · 1.0× normalMkt cap +$2.90Blive · 2026-10-15 ET

What happened

Move

+5.5%

Price

$37.25

Volume

25.67M

1.0× normal

Market cap

$55.33B

+$2.90B today

Why it moved

No clear catalyst identified

No reliable news, earnings or analyst driver was found for this move. A move this size without an obvious driver is most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than a fundamentals story.

Additional context: NKE rose 4.76% alongside broader Dow Jones stock momentum and sector interest.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 3.9σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

3.9σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

98th

of 1276 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.5%

own 5y average

vs sector

+3.4%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 2% of NKE’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +2.1% and the market +1.1%.

What happened after similar moves

45 similar up moves in NKE’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

-0.7%

40% higher

After 20 days

+0.1%

51% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 82G 0P 65H 88Q 62

Latest earnings: EPS surprise +10.0%, revenue -1.9% (2026-10-01)

Insider activity (90d): net selling $371.2K

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

16.9

5y median 29.7

P/E percentile

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Trading cheaper than 99% of its own historical valuation range.

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for NKE

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