PM

+2.8%🟢 Fundamentally supported

Philip Morris International Inc. · Consumer Defensive

$205.44Vol 6.20M · 1.3× normalMkt cap +$8.63BMarket closed — 2026-10-16 session

What happened

Move

+2.8%

Price

$205.44

Volume

6.20M

1.3× normal

Market cap

$320.20B

+$8.63B today

Why it moved

Earnings releasemedium confidence

Philip Morris Q3 Earnings Preview: Competition Heating Up — finnhub-news
Q3 Earnings Season Scorecard and Analyst Reports for NVIDIA, Philip Morris & Home Depot — finnhub-news

Possible catalyst: earnings release, 1.7pp above its sector.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🟢 Fundamentally supported

Earnings release — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.

How unusual is this move

σ score

1.5σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

94th

of 1278 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.1%

own 5y average

vs sector

+1.7%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 6% of PM’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +1.1% and the market -0.3%.

What happened after similar moves

96 similar up moves in PM’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+0.8%

54% higher

After 20 days

+2.0%

57% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 41G 55P 75H 56Q 82EW 39/65

Next earnings: 2026-10-20

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

29.4

5y median 22.5

P/E percentile

74%

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (74th percentile).

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Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for PM

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