SE
SE
-4.1%🔴 Potential overreactionSea Limited · Consumer Cyclical
$93.50Vol 4.19M · 1.0× normalMkt cap −$2.45Bafter · 2026-10-16 ET
What happened
Move
-4.1%
Price
$93.50
Volume
4.19M
1.0× normal
Market cap
$57.27B
−$2.45B today
Why it moved
Analyst upgradelow confidence
Weak signal: analyst upgrade, 3.5pp below its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🔴 Potential overreaction
A 2.8σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.
How unusual is this move
σ score
2.8σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
81th
of 1278 daily moves
Avg daily move
±2.7%
own 5y average
vs sector
-3.5%
beyond sector median
What happened after similar moves
170 similar down moves in SE’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
-0.2%
48% higher
After 20 days
-3.9%
44% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 70G 50P 57H 55Q 77EW 14/65
Insider activity (90d): net selling $572.9K
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
36.4
5y median 191.4
P/E percentile
9%
vs own 3y history
FCF yield
0.1%
Trading cheaper than 91% of its own historical valuation range.
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