SF
SF
-2.7%🟢 Fundamentally supportedStifel Financial Corp. · Financial Services
$67.80Vol 1.37M · 0.9× normalMkt cap −$0.29Bafter · 2026-10-14 ET
What happened
Move
-2.7%
Price
$67.80
Volume
1.37M
0.9× normal
Market cap
$10.24B
−$0.29B today
Why it moved
Analyst downgrademedium confidence
Possible catalyst: analyst downgrade, 1.9pp below its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Analyst downgrade — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
2.1σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
88th
of 1267 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.4%
own 5y average
vs sector
-1.9%
beyond sector median
What happened after similar moves
139 similar down moves in SF’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+0.2%
52% higher
After 20 days
+1.3%
53% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 82G 32P 72H 26Q 68
Insider activity (90d): net selling $372.2K
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
11.2
5y median 13.8
P/E percentile
24%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.0%
Trading cheaper than 76% of its own historical valuation range.
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