SOFI

-8.3%🔴 Potential overreaction

SoFi Technologies, Inc. Common Stock · Financial Services

$13.97Vol 63.40M · 1.8× normalMkt cap −$1.64Blive · 2026-10-14 ET

What happened

Move

-8.3%

Price

$13.97

Volume

63.40M

1.8× normal

Market cap

$18.04B

−$1.64B today

Why it moved

Analyst actionlow confidence

Why StoneX Initiated SoFi Stock At Buy Amid The Fintech's 2026 Retreat — finnhub-news
StoneX Initiates Coverage On SoFi Technologies with Buy Rating, Announces Price Target of $25 — finnhub-news

Weak signal: analyst action, 6.9pp below its sector, on 1.8× normal volume.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 5.1σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

5.1σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

96th

of 1266 daily moves

Avg daily move

±3.1%

own 5y average

vs sector

-6.9%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 4% of SOFI’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -1.5% and the market -0.9%.

What happened after similar moves

93 similar down moves in SOFI’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

-0.3%

49% higher

After 20 days

-1.8%

46% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 50G 50P 50H 26Q 17

Insider activity (90d): net selling $499.2K

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

30.9

5y median 44.8

P/E percentile

vs own 2y history

FCF yield

-0.4%

Trading cheaper than 95% of its own historical valuation range.

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for SOFI

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