SP
SPCE
-4.7%⚪ No clear catalystVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. · Industrials
$2.46Vol 6.39M · 1.1× normalMkt cap −$0.02BMarket closed — 2026-10-16 session
What happened
Move
-4.7%
Price
$2.46
Volume
6.39M
1.1× normal
Market cap
$0.37B
−$0.02B today
Why it moved
No clear catalyst identified
No reliable news, earnings or analyst driver was found for this move. Likely flow-driven.
Verdict — was the move justified?
⚪ No clear catalyst
No reliable catalyst was identified for this move.
How unusual is this move
σ score
1.3σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
65th
of 1278 daily moves
Avg daily move
±4.2%
own 5y average
vs sector
-4.4%
beyond sector median
What happened after similar moves
237 similar down moves in SPCE’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
-1.2%
43% higher
After 20 days
-6.8%
37% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 20G 0P 0H 46Q 30
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