TOL

-2.7%⚪ No clear catalyst

Toll Brothers, Inc. · Industrials

$129.03Vol 556.8K · 0.6× normalMkt cap −$0.33Blive · 2026-10-14 ET

What happened

Move

-2.7%

Price

$129.03

Volume

556.8K

0.6× normal

Market cap

$11.89B

−$0.33B today

Why it moved

Product announcementlow confidence

Toll Brothers Announces New Luxury Home Community Coming Soon to Saint Cloud, Florida — finnhub-news
Toll Brothers Announces Model Home Grand Opening at Toll Brothers at Flat Creek in Castroville, Texas — finnhub-news

Weak signal: product announcement, 1.6pp below its sector.

Verdict — was the move justified?

⚪ No clear catalyst

An unusually large move with no reliable catalyst identified — most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than news-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

2.2σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

82th

of 1266 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.7%

own 5y average

vs sector

-1.6%

beyond sector median

What happened after similar moves

167 similar down moves in TOL’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+0.7%

57% higher

After 20 days

+0.8%

54% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 65G 64P 64H 68Q 72

Insider activity (90d): net selling $108.8K

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

10.2

5y median 8.4

P/E percentile

77%

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.1%

Trading richer than 77% of its own historical valuation range.

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for TOL

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