TOST

-4.9%🔴 Potential overreaction

Toast, Inc. · Technology

$29.36Vol 4.92M · 0.8× normalMkt cap −$0.88Blive · 2026-10-14 ET

What happened

Move

-4.9%

Price

$29.36

Volume

4.92M

0.8× normal

Market cap

$16.97B

−$0.88B today

Why it moved

No clear catalyst identified

No reliable news, earnings or analyst driver was found for this move. A move this size without an obvious driver is most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than a fundamentals story.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 3.0σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

3.0σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

85th

of 1266 daily moves

Avg daily move

±2.7%

own 5y average

vs sector

-2.2%

beyond sector median

What happened after similar moves

140 similar down moves in TOST’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+0.0%

50% higher

After 20 days

+3.2%

57% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 67G 50P 63H 75Q 87

Insider activity (90d): net selling $1.88M

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

36.7

5y median 75.4

P/E percentile

16%

vs own 2y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Trading cheaper than 84% of its own historical valuation range.

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for TOST

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