TW
TWLO
-9.2%🟢 Fundamentally supportedTwilio Inc. · Technology
$248.24Vol 1.13M · 0.9× normalMkt cap −$3.86Blive · 2026-10-16 ET
What happened
Move
-9.2%
Price
$248.24
Volume
1.13M
0.9× normal
Market cap
$38.12B
−$3.86B today
Why it moved
Earnings releasemedium confidence
- Will Twilio (TWLO) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report? — finnhub-news
- Twilio Q2 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript — finnhub-news
Possible catalyst: earnings release, 7.8pp below its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Earnings release — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
2.5σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
98th
of 1270 daily moves
Avg daily move
±2.6%
own 5y average
vs sector
-7.8%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 2% of TWLO’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved -1.4% and the market +0.4%.
What happened after similar moves
56 similar down moves in TWLO’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
+0.2%
50% higher
After 20 days
-3.5%
39% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 42G 20P 47H 78Q 52
Insider activity (90d): net selling $7.16M
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
36.6
5y median 287.8
P/E percentile
18%
vs own 1y history
FCF yield
0.0%
Trading cheaper than 82% of its own historical valuation range.
Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice
Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for TWLO