UA
UAL
-3.8%🟢 Fundamentally supportedUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock · Consumer Cyclical
$99.28Vol 5.41M · 1.2× normalMkt cap −$1.28Bafter · 2026-10-14 ET
What happened
Move
-3.8%
Price
$99.28
Volume
5.41M
1.2× normal
Market cap
$32.22B
−$1.28B today
Why it moved
Earnings releasemedium confidence
- United Airlines Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Cards? — finnhub-news
- Analysts Estimate United Airlines (UAL) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for — finnhub-news
Possible catalyst: earnings release, 3.6pp below its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Earnings release — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
1.8σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
85th
of 1276 daily moves
Avg daily move
±2.2%
own 5y average
vs sector
-3.6%
beyond sector median
What happened after similar moves
166 similar down moves in UAL’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
-0.2%
48% higher
After 20 days
+2.2%
56% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 77G 37P 50H 39Q 74EW 37/65
Insider activity (90d): net selling $6.40M
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
9.2
5y median 9.0
P/E percentile
53%
vs own 4y history
FCF yield
0.1%
Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (53th percentile).
Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice
Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for UAL