ULTA

-2.7%⚪ No clear catalyst

Ulta Beauty, Inc. Common Stock · Consumer Cyclical

$592.94Vol 461.3K · 1.0× normalMkt cap −$0.70Bafter · 2026-10-16 ET

What happened

Move

-2.7%

Price

$592.94

Volume

461.3K

1.0× normal

Market cap

$25.35B

−$0.70B today

Why it moved

No clear catalyst identified

No reliable news, earnings or analyst driver was found for this move. A move this size without an obvious driver is most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than a fundamentals story.

Verdict — was the move justified?

⚪ No clear catalyst

An unusually large move with no reliable catalyst identified — most likely flow/positioning-driven rather than news-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

2.2σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

86th

of 1278 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.5%

own 5y average

vs sector

-2.2%

beyond sector median

What happened after similar moves

141 similar down moves in ULTA’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+0.7%

60% higher

After 20 days

+0.7%

54% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 49G 32P 70H 67Q 82EW 39/65

Insider activity (90d): net selling $1.41M

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

22.0

5y median 19.2

P/E percentile

76%

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Trading richer than 76% of its own historical valuation range.

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