WDAY

+4.1%🔴 Potential overreaction

Workday Inc. · Technology

$196.50Vol 1.42M · 1.1× normalMkt cap +$1.86Blive · 2026-10-15 ET

What happened

Move

+4.1%

Price

$196.50

Volume

1.42M

1.1× normal

Market cap

$47.36B

+$1.86B today

Why it moved

Analyst downgradelow confidence

UBS Maintains Neutral on Workday, Lowers Price Target to $210 — finnhub-news

Weak signal: analyst downgrade, 3.8pp above its sector.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 3.1σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

3.1σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

91th

of 1276 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.8%

own 5y average

vs sector

+3.8%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 9% of WDAY’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +0.3% and the market +1.2%.

What happened after similar moves

93 similar up moves in WDAY’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

+1.1%

55% higher

After 20 days

+0.9%

54% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 65G 95P 64H 62Q 87EW 21/65

Insider activity (90d): net selling $19.59M

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

36.4

5y median 42.0

P/E percentile

15%

vs own 3y history

FCF yield

0.1%

Trading cheaper than 85% of its own historical valuation range.

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for WDAY

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