WM
WMG
+4.7%🟢 Fundamentally supportedWarner Music Group Corp. Class A Common Stock · Consumer Cyclical
$30.27Vol 1.77M · 1.4× normalMkt cap +$0.71Blive · 2026-10-15 ET
What happened
Move
+4.7%
Price
$30.27
Volume
1.77M
1.4× normal
Market cap
$15.83B
+$0.71B today
Why it moved
Analyst upgrademedium confidence
- StoneX Initiates Coverage On Warner Music Gr with Buy Rating, Announces Price Target of $41 — finnhub-news
Possible catalyst: analyst upgrade, 2.6pp above its sector.
Verdict — was the move justified?
🟢 Fundamentally supported
Analyst upgrade — direction and rough magnitude are consistent with the identified fundamental catalyst.
How unusual is this move
σ score
3.4σ
vs own 20d volatility
Percentile
96th
of 1267 daily moves
Avg daily move
±1.5%
own 5y average
vs sector
+2.6%
beyond sector median
Today’s move is among the largest 4% of WMG’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +2.1% and the market +1.1%.
What happened after similar moves
72 similar up moves in WMG’s 5-year history:
After 5 days
-0.9%
46% higher
After 20 days
+0.2%
50% higher
Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.
Fundamental context
V 77G 49P 62H 24Q 85
Valuation context
P/E (TTM)
22.5
5y median 35.9
P/E percentile
5%
vs own 5y history
FCF yield
0.1%
Trading cheaper than 95% of its own historical valuation range.
Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice
Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for WMG