WMT

+4.1%🔴 Potential overreaction

Walmart Inc. · Consumer Defensive

$116.85Vol 25.90M · 1.2× normalMkt cap +$36.26BMarket closed — 2026-10-14 session

What happened

Move

+4.1%

Price

$116.85

Volume

25.90M

1.2× normal

Market cap

$927.06B

+$36.26B today

Why it moved

Legal / regulatorylow confidence

What Does Walmart (WMT) FDA Warning Mean For Its Marketplace Business? — finnhub-news

Weak signal: legal / regulatory, 2.7pp above its sector.

Verdict — was the move justified?

🔴 Potential overreaction

A 2.6σ move well beyond the sector with no identified fundamental or news driver — the reaction appears larger than currently visible evidence justifies. Likely flow/positioning-driven.

How unusual is this move

σ score

2.6σ

vs own 20d volatility

Percentile

98th

of 1277 daily moves

Avg daily move

±1.0%

own 5y average

vs sector

+2.7%

beyond sector median

Today’s move is among the largest 2% of WMT’s daily moves over the last 5 years — while the sector moved +1.4% and the market -0.6%.

What happened after similar moves

24 similar up moves in WMT’s 5-year history:

After 5 days

-0.2%

50% higher

After 20 days

+0.6%

54% higher

Median of same-direction moves within ±35% magnitude band. Past patterns don’t predict outcomes — context, not signal.

Fundamental context

V 47G 64P 51H 68Q 87EW 25/65

Insider activity (90d): net selling $565.6K

Valuation context

P/E (TTM)

41.7

5y median 39.5

P/E percentile

64%

vs own 5y history

FCF yield

0.0%

Valuation sits near the middle of its own historical range (64th percentile).

Full fundamental analysis on PreMarketPrice

Pillar scores, financial statements, valuation history, news & more for WMT

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